Who is operating in the North-East — and on what leverage
Nine dossiers mapping the state, corporate, military and supranational actors whose footprints touch Tamil-majority territory or the diaspora corridor. Each entry has a cited footprint, 2025–26 deltas, and a leverage reading — strictly positional, not accusatory.
China
Hambantota concession, Colombo Port City, 5G backbone, fisheries soft power.
India
Trincomalee oil tanks, Colombo West container terminal, Mannar wind vacancy, fisheries enforcement, 5-year Defence MoU.
Russia
Tea-market dominance, sanctions-edge trade, Rosatom nuclear approaches.
Israel
Historical defence relationship; forensic and surveillance technology procurement; opacity throughout.
Gulf (UAE · Saudi · Qatar)
Labour-migration pipeline accounts for 55–60% of SL workers' remittances; Hill Country domestic-worker pipeline is the most consequential channel.
UK · US · EU
GSP+ conditionality, UK Magnitsky precedent (Mar 2025), OHCHR Accountability Project — meaningful but uncoordinated.
Military · Intelligence Cooperation
CARAT exercises at Trincomalee, sustained Pakistan staff-college exchanges, multi-vector arms supply.
Corporate · Extractive
Mannar Basin hydrocarbons, Pulmoddai heavy mineral sands, NE wind corridor — all geographically Tamil, all licensed from Colombo.
Transnational Repression
Interpol Red Notice patterns, ICCPR Act §3 extraterritorial reach, embassy surveillance — coupled to PSTA's diaspora-applicable definitions.