India

Trinco Petroleum Terminal (TPTL) IOC-CPC JV formalised 2022 — China Bay Upper Tank Farm (99 tanks). Adani 1GW Mannar/Pooneryn wind awarded 2022–24 via direct negotiation. UPI/RuPay rails launched Feb 2024.

1. Jan 2025Credible report · Tier-B

   SL Navy fired on an Indian fishing boat (28 Jan); 100+ TN fishers arrested in Jan-Feb 2025 alone.

2. Feb 2025Confirmed · Tier-A source

   Adani formally withdrew from the 484 MW Mannar/Pooneryn wind projects.

3. Apr 2025Confirmed · Tier-A source

   Colombo West International Terminal (Adani/JKH/SLPA) inaugurated — SL's first fully automated container terminal.

4. Apr 2025Confirmed · Tier-A source

   India–Sri Lanka 5-year Defence MoU signed during PM Modi state visit.

5. May 2025Confirmed · Tier-A source

   SL Cabinet approved exploration of four Mannar Basin petroleum and gas blocks.

6. Jun 2025Credible report · Tier-B

   $50m private-sector Mannar wind investment package reported post-Adani.

Trincomalee oil tank farm ties SL energy security to Indian goodwill — any future Tamil self-governance claim over the NE meets an operational Indian energy facility. CWIT gives India structural leverage over SL import/export economics. The 5-year Defence MoU regularises joint patrolling and intelligence frameworks historically used to monitor Tamil political activity. The Mannar wind vacancy + Mannar Basin petroleum licensing happened in a window without a functioning Northern PC with resource authority.