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Tier A

Common ecology quantifies human insurgency (Nature 462, 911–914)

Bohorquez, Gourley, Dixon, Spagat, Johnson · Nature
tlte-cite:bohorquez-nature-2009-conflict-physics
Editorial gloss

Peer-reviewed Nature paper demonstrating that the severity distribution of insurgent attacks across nine modern conflicts (including Sri Lanka) follows a common power law with exponent α ≈ 2.5, despite enormous differences in geography, ideology and combatants. This is the empirical foundation for treating cross-community ethno-religious flashpoint sequences — Aluthgama 2014 → Digana 2018 → Easter 2019 → forced cremation 2020–22 → vihara archaeology disputes — as a SINGLE structural process generating a heavy-tailed event distribution, not as isolated incidents. Anchor for the RIF math model.

Dossier tags
  • case religion state
  • case mathematics

Citation IDs in the tlte-cite: namespace are append-only and permanent. They can be quoted from any dossier, the Velicham assistant, or external scholarship. The canonical resolver lives atdocs.tlte.cloud/cite/<slug>.

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