Eight models — the spine
Mathematics and physics turn opinions about a public service into parameters. Every model is open: every formula, every variable, every default value is on the page. The CSCI composite radar at the bottom shows how the seven sub-models combine into a single design-study confidence score.
Public trust in a service decays exponentially after a violation and restores logistically through verified accountability events.
Expected arrival time at point (x,y) is a Voronoi-weighted sum over station locations, density-adjusted, with a stochastic congestion term.
A structural index of how much architectural pressure a service has placed against corruption — body-cams, audits, rotation, dashboards, whistleblower routing.
Probability of peaceful resolution rises sharply with restraint-time τ and recorded presence, falls sharply with weapon exposure w.
A search ellipse expands over time around a last-known point under wind, current and leeway uncertainty.
Detection → triage → dispatch → arrival latency as an additive budget with independent variance terms.
A composite of the seven other model outputs, normalised to a 0–100 confidence score for the design study (never a country score).
Recovery curve of service capacity C(t) after a shock event, with antifragility coefficient η measuring whether post-shock capacity exceeds pre-shock.
CSCI composite · sample radar
Composite confidence index on the design study itself — never a country score, never a force score.